According to the latest forecasts published by the German central bank, Bundesbank (Buba), the economy is seen contracting 7.1% in 2020.
Additional takeaways
German stimulus may raise 2020 GDP by more than 1%.
Sees German GDP growth of 3.2% in 2021, 3.8% in 2022.
Projections do not include recent fiscal package.
Fiscal support appropriate, takes positive view on govt’s measures.
Low point in growth appears to have passed in April.
Market reaction
EUR/USD holds the higher ground on the above projections, having hit a new three-month high at 1.1384, despite the collapse in the German Factory Order in April.
The spot adds 0.36% to trade at 1.1375.