The President of Germany’s influential IFO institute, Clemens Fuest, said on Thursday, the German economy could shrink by 6% in 2020 due to the coronavirus chaos.
The further course of events depends very much on how the epidemic develops.
We are looking at two scenarios today. A very, very favourable scenario that would result in negative economic growth of 1.5% in 2020.
This was based on limited reductions in production.
We have a second scenario with major production restrictions – this will lead to an economic contraction of 6% in 2020.
This comes after German IFO Business Climate collapsed to 87.7 in preliminary read for March.